Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 16.386304 19.019971 21.880015 25.208749 28.968255 33.074322 37.889655
2025-08-03 11.932101 15.538840 19.845807 25.329107 32.081430 40.078987 50.218154
2025-08-10 9.063196 12.959247 17.979063 24.833795 33.850288 45.194753 60.419362
2025-08-17 7.104559 11.018832 16.402117 24.199713 35.030189 49.341451 69.440592
2025-08-24 5.666629 9.466156 15.008719 23.468439 35.790508 52.773905 77.564507
2025-08-31 4.504497 8.078561 13.590945 22.424738 35.865035 55.110444 84.190562
2025-09-07 3.934522 7.502647 13.274324 22.911495 38.115773 60.581538 95.496873
2025-09-14 3.449935 6.975407 12.940937 23.291530 40.177848 65.855989 106.796047
2025-09-21 2.919924 6.269984 12.204773 22.907263 40.959482 69.198509 115.359666
2025-09-28 2.451134 5.589988 11.409198 22.307415 41.292884 71.809393 122.893713
2025-10-05 2.351189 5.610069 11.859777 23.894752 45.360572 80.549470 140.472192
2025-10-12 2.207688 5.515209 12.078360 25.073563 48.800138 88.456282 157.128319
2025-10-19 1.982170 5.234864 11.959073 25.721000 51.549293 95.708782 173.686591
2025-10-26 1.725275 4.841832 11.576733 25.857606 53.454666 101.778540 188.870077
2025-11-02 1.452059 4.349457 10.912466 25.355789 54.126960 105.761571 200.785185
2025-11-09 1.213117 3.883373 10.225869 24.710567 54.441242 109.097880 211.747519
2025-11-16 1.007286 3.450663 9.538912 23.965965 54.466613 111.876122 221.848504
2025-11-23 0.817835 3.010765 8.756476 22.903051 53.731700 113.167714 229.321701
2025-11-30 0.737569 2.870708 8.678695 23.398791 56.215223 120.624104 248.374264
2025-12-07 0.661779 2.724704 8.561622 23.785822 58.493901 127.815944 267.306872
2025-12-14 0.563948 2.478376 8.139433 23.394481 59.061009 131.704948 280.247555
2025-12-21 0.472877 2.226144 7.654648 22.783561 59.079119 134.488234 291.208914
2025-12-28 0.465643 2.279080 8.040472 24.400114 64.210816 147.830615 323.165006